Stanford Grain Company
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                             207 West Main Street - Stanford IL 61774 
              
Sunday, May 19, 2013
 
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Friday Afternoon Comments (5/16)
We spent the first part of the week recovering losses from the May S&D report that was construed as bearish, mostly on the realization that 12/13 corn supplies remain tight. Old crop corn ending stocks of 759 mln. bu. are 92 mln. bu. below last year’s May estimate of 851 mln. bu. and planting progress is behind last year’s accelerated levels. CN closed 11 cents higher today while new crop was down 4 cents. For the week CN gained 17 cents while CZ lost 10 cents. Planting progress made great strides this week and Monday’s planting progress report is anticipated to show corn 60%+ planted. Rain moving through the Midwest Sunday through Wednesday is expected to slow planting, but dry weather is expected after this rain event. Informa issued an updated estimate showing corn acreage at 96.3 mln. acres, yield at 160.9 bpa, and production of 14,398 mln. bu. (USDA 97.3, 158.0, 14,140) Demand news this week was mixed as ethanol production for the week increased slightly, egg sets and chicks placed were mixed, and weekly export sales were thin (as expected.)

Slow cash movement and tight old crop supplies of U.S. soybeans helped support futures today as SN gained 21 cents. New crop soybeans are supported in part by good planting progress in corn alleviating some of the worry regarding acres switching to beans. For the week SN gained 49 cents and SX gained 23 cents. Continued good meal export demand and positive domestic crush margins are supportive and some trade estimates are promoting ending stocks approaching 100 mln. bu. (Current USDA projection is 125 mln. bu. vs. 210 mln. bu. in last May’s estimate.) Informa’s latest estimate shows bean acres at 78.3 mln., yield of 43.9 bpa, and production of 3,388 mln. bu. (USDA 77.1, 44.5, 3,390)

Wheat futures were moderately easier today as wheat continues to follow corn. WN as 4½ cents weaker today and 21 cents lower this week. The market attempted to generate some excitement this week regarding dry weather in Russian and Ukrainian winter wheat areas but did not have any success. Informa estimates all wheat acres at 56.3 mln. and production at 2,064 mln. bu. (USDA 56.4 and 2,057).
Comments from Mid-Co Commodities
Have a Good Weekend & Be Careful!
 


Local Cash Bids
 
  May June July Fall Jan 14
STANFORD CORN Cash Price
Basis
Futures Month @C3N @C3N @C3N @C3Z @C4H
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BEANS Cash Price
Basis
Futures Month @S3N @S3N @S3N @S3X @S4F
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Price as of 05/19/13 04:58PM CDT.
Month Symbols
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Futures
@C - CORN - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Jul 13 653'2 11'2 652'6s 04:45P Chart for @C3N Options for @C3N
Sep 13 555'4 2'2 556'0s 04:40P Chart for @C3U Options for @C3U
Dec 13 519'2 -4'4 519'4s 04:44P Chart for @C3Z Options for @C3Z
Mar 14 529'4 -4'2 530'0s 02:00P Chart for @C4H Options for @C4H
May 14 537'6 -4'2 537'4s 02:00P Chart for @C4K Options for @C4K
Jul 14 544'0 -4'2 544'4s 04:40P Chart for @C4N Options for @C4N
Sep 14 537'6 -3'6 536'6s 02:00P Chart for @C4U Options for @C4U
Dec 14 535'2 -4'0 535'2s 04:40P Chart for @C4Z Options for @C4Z
@S - SOYBEANS - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Jul 13 1448'6 21'0 1448'4s 04:45P Chart for @S3N Options for @S3N
Aug 13 1378'2 24'4 1378'4s 04:40P Chart for @S3Q Options for @S3Q
Sep 13 1289'4 18'0 1289'4s 04:40P Chart for @S3U Options for @S3U
Nov 13 1227'6 10'6 1228'2s 04:40P Chart for @S3X Options for @S3X
Jan 14 1235'0 10'4 1235'2s 04:40P Chart for @S4F Options for @S4F
Mar 14 1240'2 9'6 1239'4s 03:59P Chart for @S4H Options for @S4H
May 14 1241'4 9'4 1241'2s 02:03P Chart for @S4K Options for @S4K
Jul 14 1248'2 9'0 1248'6s 04:00P Chart for @S4N Options for @S4N
@W - WHEAT - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Jul 13 682'6 -4'4 683'2s 04:40P Chart for @W3N Options for @W3N
Sep 13 690'0 -5'0 691'0s 04:40P Chart for @W3U Options for @W3U
Dec 13 707'0 -5'4 707'4s 04:40P Chart for @W3Z Options for @W3Z
Mar 14 723'2 -5'6 724'2s 02:03P Chart for @W4H Options for @W4H
May 14 731'2 -4'6 731'4s 02:03P Chart for @W4K Options for @W4K
Jul 14 733'2 -4'6 734'0s 02:03P Chart for @W4N Options for @W4N
+DJ - DJ INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE - CBOT
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Jun 13 15236.00 15330.00 15230.00 15314.00 15212.00s 05/17 Chart for +DJ3M Options for +DJ3M
Sep 13 15170.00 15190.00 15170.00 15190.00 103.00 15246.00s 05/17 Chart for +DJ3U Options for +DJ3U
Dec 13 15090.00 103.00 15176.00s 05/17 Chart for +DJ3Z Options for +DJ3Z
@DX - US DOLLAR INDEX - ICEFU
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Jun 13 83.880 84.515 83.865 84.345 0.665 84.387s 05/17 Chart for @DX3M Options for @DX3M
Sep 13 84.275 84.770 84.145 84.655 0.650 84.642s 05/17 Chart for @DX3U Options for @DX3U
Dec 13 84.852 0.650 84.852s 05/17 Chart for @DX3Z Options for @DX3Z
EB - BRENT CRUDE - ICEFE
Month Open High Low Last Change Close Time More
Jul 13 103.87 104.87 103.35 104.72 0.94 104.64s 05/17 Chart for EB3N Options for EB3N
Aug 13 103.58 104.71 103.20 104.50 0.90 104.46s 05/17 Chart for EB3Q Options for EB3Q
Sep 13 103.29 104.43 102.95 104.20 0.87 104.17s 05/17 Chart for EB3U Options for EB3U
My Custom Markets
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Temp: 89oF Feels Like: 93oF
Humid: 50% Dew Pt: 68oF
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Cond: N/A Wind Spd: 20 mph
Sunrise: 5:35 Sunset: 8:09
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